Russian News
SUPERPOWERS
NATO, Ukraine, trade: Europe's jitters ahead of US vote
NATO, Ukraine, trade: Europe's jitters ahead of US vote
by AFP Staff Writers
Brussels, Belgium (AFP) Oct 23, 2024

European nations are nervously eyeing the nail-biting US election that will bring the radically different approach of either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris to the White House.

Trump has threatened to upend NATO, cut a quick deal with Russia over Ukraine and impose trade tariffs if he wins November's presidential election.

Harris has stressed the importance of NATO and decried Trump's tariffs as a hidden sales tax.

It is no secret that most European officials would prefer the more predictable Democratic vice president rather than the volatile Republican take the reins at such a perilous moment.

Ahead of the ballot, here are some of the biggest worries for Europe:

NATO

Trump unleashed a firestorm on the campaign trail by saying he would encourage Russia to do "whatever the hell" it wants with NATO members not spending enough on defence.

The broadside was the latest from the ex-reality TV star to rattle the alliance that has underpinned Europe's security for 75 years.

Having already weathered four years of Trump in charge, NATO diplomats insist the nightmare prospect of Washington pulling out remains distant.

To head off his criticism, European nations have played up their increased defence spending since Moscow's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

This year 23 of NATO's 32 members are set to hit the target of 2 percent of GDP -- up from three a decade ago.

"It's a Trumpian way of doing business, it's the way he says it, but it's a totally reasonable message on the necessity for Europe to do more," said one European diplomat.

If Harris wins, the tone towards NATO is set to be notably warmer. She has echoed President Joe Biden's pledge to stand strong with US allies.

But even under Harris, European countries expect major pressure to keep increasing defence spending.

And as the United States increasingly focuses on its rivalry with China, there is a sense that either way Europe will have to take more responsibility for its security in the long run.

Ukraine

While European officials are hopeful they could talk Trump down from undermining NATO, there are more questions swirling over US backing for Ukraine.

The United States and EU nations have given the bulk of support for Kyiv in a fight many in Europe see as an existential struggle for the continent's security.

While European countries combined have provided some $130 billion, Washington alone has come up with $90 billion, according to a tracker from the Kiel Institute.

Former president Trump has cast doubt on US help for Ukraine and insists he could do a deal with Russian leader Vladimir Putin to end the war in one day.

European officials say that should Trump pull the plug they would try to keep Ukraine afloat, but that would likely only keep Kyiv going until it was forced to accept a deal.

"But I'm not sure Trump will withdraw. He could call Putin, not get the deal he wants and decide to fully support Ukraine, said one diplomat. "You never know with him."

Like Biden, Harris has pledged to maintain Washington's firm backing for Kyiv.

But European diplomats say that she likely will not be as personally invested as Biden, and as the war drags on into a third year calls to end it somehow will grow.

Trade

The EU believes this time it will be battle-ready if Trump wins and follows through on threats to impose tariffs on imports to the United States.

The European Commission, the EU's executive arm in charge of trade policy, has set up a team to ready plans for a Harris or Trump win.

"The EU is much better prepared for another Trump administration," an EU diplomat said.

The team is however preparing for different scenarios and "unlike last time, we have various trade tools", the diplomat said.

There has been much talk of a "list" of US products the EU could slap tariffs on, but European officials and diplomats insist this would be a last-resort measure.

The first test for the EU and the United States under any new administration will be in March, when a truce relating to US steel and aluminium tariffs expires.

Trump in 2018 slapped high duties on steel and aluminium coming from many countries, sweeping up EU exports in the process. When Biden came to power, he kept the tariffs in place but granted suspensions for EU exporters.

Brussels fears Trump will impose higher tariffs while Harris, although unlikely to be soft, would maintain "dialogue in good faith", the EU diplomat said.

"There'll be a continued focus on trying to find those areas of cooperation, trying to avoid unnecessary conflict under a Harris administration," said Greta Peisch, a former General Counsel for the US Trade Representative.

Peisch, now a partner at US law firm Wiley, told AFP Harris would represent a "continuation" of Biden's administration, noting that under Trump, it could be more complicated.

"I think that there were areas of cooperation, but in the Trump administration, there was also more of a willingness to be confrontational on trade issues."

del-raz/gv

HARRIS

Related Links
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters
Tweet

RELATED CONTENT
The following news reports may link to other Space Media Network websites.
SUPERPOWERS
China, Russia, Iran and N. Korea cooperation worries Swiss intelligence
Geneva (AFP) Oct 22, 2024
Swiss intelligence warned Tuesday of the impact of shifting global power relations on security in Switzerland and beyond, voicing particular concern at growing military cooperation between China, Russia, Iran and North Korea. Presenting its annual report, the Federal Intelligence Service (FIS) cautioned that "Switzerland's security environment continues to deteriorate from year to year". In a statement, the FIS pointed to the "dangerous and volatile period of transition to a new order of global ... read more

SUPERPOWERS
NATO, Ukraine, trade: Europe's jitters ahead of US vote

India, China and S.Africa leaders bolster Putin at key summit

China, Russia, Iran and N. Korea cooperation worries Swiss intelligence

China, Vatican extend deal on bishop appointments

SUPERPOWERS
North Korean leader Kim inspects missile bases, ballistic weapons

Zelensky calls for 'strong response' from allies to North Korean involvement in Ukraine war

North Korea UN representative denies Pyongyang sent troops to Russia

Iran says neighbours won't allow use of their 'soil or airspace' for attack

SUPERPOWERS
China sets ambitious space science development goals through 2050

China successfully retrieves first reusable test satellite Shijian-19

China unveils new lunar spacesuit design ahead of moon mission

Shenzhou XIX crew to launch as Shenzhou XVIII returns

SUPERPOWERS
China's Myanmar consulate hit with explosive device: Junta chief to visit China next month

China to almost double support for unfinished housing projects

Myanmar junta chief to travel to China next month: sources close to military

Hong Kong to eliminate 'shoebox' flats, cut spirits tax: leader

SUPERPOWERS
Mercedes opens electric car battery recycling plant

Chinese EV battery giant CATL reports jump in profits

Efficient Nanobubble Production Method Explored by UCalgary Researchers

Seeking new energy solutions from the sea in wave power biofuel and beyond

SUPERPOWERS
SUPERPOWERS
Intelsat and US Army Complete pilot program for Managed Satellite Communication Services

ViaSat-3 F1 Now Providing Services to Government Customers

SWIFT marks key advancement in Lockheed Martin and Altera partnership

Northrop Grumman completes Hybrid SATCOM test with commercial space internet

SUPERPOWERS
Pentagon announces $400M in new round of military arms support for Ukraine

Lockheed Martin and Altera complete key electronic warfare demonstration for DoD

US defense chief in Kyiv announces $400 million in military aid

U.S. to send $425M in more military aid to Ukraine

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.