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Outside View: Hornets for India? -- Part 2

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by Nikita Petrov
Moscow (UPI) Mar 03, 2008
The $1.5 billion contract signed by Russia's Sevmash Corp. to refit the aircraft carrier or air capable cruiser Admiral Gorshkov for the Indian navy hugely underestimated the true costs of modernization.

The plunge of the dollar and the subsequent surge in prices of equipment and skilled labor, as well as high requirements set by the Indian navy, made the project unrealizable.

The Admiral Gorshkov will have French, Israeli and Indian equipment, which will have to be adjusted to the Russian-made systems. This entails a series of R&D projects and trials. More funds are to be spent on the improvement of the MiG-29K, which can engage not only air, but also surface and submarine targets.

Indian pilots saw the MiG-29K at the Zhukovsky airfield near Moscow two years ago and were impressed. Additional funds are needed for its mass production, however, and New Delhi has refused to pay a rupee more. Moreover, it has threatened to fine Russia for failure to deliver on time.

As usual, Russian officials found a scapegoat and fired Sevmash Director Vladimir Pastukhov, but this has neither improved the situation nor added money for completing the ship's modernization. In an apparent effort to encourage the Indians to pay more, the Russian press cited an anonymous source from the Russian General Staff who said that if India terminated the contract the carrier would be turned over to the Russian navy.

However, nobody has calculated how much this would cost Russia -- in fines for breach of contract, adjusting the carrier to Russian requirements and damage to Russia's prestige.

Sadly, the debacle of the Admiral Gorshkov is not an isolated incident. Several years ago the St. Petersburg-based Baltic Shipyard and its subcontractors postponed the delivery of three multi-role frigates to the Indian navy for more than a year because of failure to adjust a new air defense system to the ships' fire control systems. On that occasion the Indians demanded about $40 million in damages, and it took Russian officials much time and effort to convince them to withdraw their claims.

Later, Russia had problems with a diesel submarine modernized for India because of a malfunctioning missile system.

Next, India refused to take delivery of a modernized version of the Ilyushin Il-38, a naval patrol and anti-submarine warfare aircraft, because its technical and tactical characteristics did not fit Indian requirements.

Even if America did offer the Kitty Hawk, New Delhi might well refuse the gift. It was built in 1961 and has been declared too old for the U.S. Navy. The Admiral Gorshkov is not only younger -- she was laid down in 1978 and launched in 1982 -- but fully equipped. The U.S. carrier will need to be supplied with new power plants and support, navigation and other systems. Nobody can say now how much this would cost.

In other words, by rejecting the Admiral Gorshkov, India could fall into a new trap with the USS Kitty Hawk. But that would not be Russia's problem.

(Nikita Petrov is a military commentator for RIA Novosti. This article is reprinted by permission of RIA Novosti. The opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

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